Yuen Long Reserve vs Sun Pegasus Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
71.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yuen Long Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
DRE
2 - 1
YLO
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
YLO
0 - 6
WTS
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
WTS
3 - 0
YLO
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
YLO
5 - 1
SOU
41%
21%
38%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
RRE
4 - 0
YLO
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PEG
2 - 2
KIT
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 3
PEG
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
PEG
6 - 0
SCH
65%
17%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
DRE
3 - 3
PEG
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
PEG
3 - 3
WTS
77%
14%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |