Yuen Long Reserve vs Kitchee Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
4.1%
4-4
1.4%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
36.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
16%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yuen Long Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
WFR
1 - 9
YLO
35%
21%
44%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
YLO
5 - 2
SOU
45%
20%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
YLO
2 - 0
ESA
38%
20%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
HKS
2 - 2
YLO
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
YLO
3 - 1
WTP
11%
14%
75%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +4 |
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
KIT
0 - 3
PEG
52%
19%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
WTP
5 - 1
KIT
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
KIT
3 - 1
WFR
83%
10%
7%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
KIT
1 - 3
SOU
77%
13%
10%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
KIT
1 - 4
DRE
61%
17%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |