Ytterhogdals vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
6º
22
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ytterhogdals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
THO
4 - 0
YIK
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
0 - 2
BOD
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UAK
3 - 1
YIK
12%
17%
72%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
1 - 0
IFA
76%
13%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
YIK
2 - 1
SKE
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 4
THO
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
LUC
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 2
UAK
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
LUC
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |