Ypiranga AP vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
YAP
1 - 0
MAR
33%
26%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 2
YAP
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
YAP
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 3
SEC
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 1
GUR
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
CRI
18%
23%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAL
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |