Ypiranga AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
3 - 0
SPM
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
IAP
0 - 2
YAP
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
TDC
2 - 2
YAP
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
YAP
1 - 0
SEC
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
YAP
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 3
TDC
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 1
SEC
54%
22%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SPM
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IAP
1 - 1
ORC
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ORC
2 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |