Ypiranga AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
YAP
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
3 - 1
IAP
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
3 - 0
SPM
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
IAP
0 - 2
YAP
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 3
TDC
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 1
SEC
54%
22%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |