Ypiranga AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2011 |
YAP
2 - 2
SPM
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
YAP
3 - 1
SPM
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
YAP
0 - 0
TDC
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
YAP
1 - 2
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
YAP
2 - 2
IAP
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SEC
0 - 4
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
1 - 3
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
0 - 1
SPM
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TDC
0 - 3
ORC
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |