Young Boys vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 0
YBD
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
OBE
2 - 1
YBD
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
YBD
1 - 2
FFN
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
YBD
0 - 3
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
YBD
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
3 - 0
OBE
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
USM
2 - 3
SWI
36%
25%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SWI
4 - 0
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 2
FOL
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
SWI
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |