York United vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
YOR
0 - 0
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 1
EDM
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 3
YOR
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 0
YOR
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 3
YOR
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
ATO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HFX
1 - 0
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
FOR
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
PAC
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |