York City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
EAS
0 - 2
YOR
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
YOR
2 - 0
SOL
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
YOR
1 - 1
OLD
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GAT
1 - 3
YOR
32%
25%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
YOR
7 - 2
ALD
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
OLD
4 - 0
HAL
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
OLD
2 - 0
EBB
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 0
OLD
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
YOR
1 - 1
OLD
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
OLD
2 - 1
HAR
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |