Yokogawa Musashino vs Reinmeer Aomori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
46.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
16º
15º
31
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
30 | 57 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 54 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 27 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
YOK
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
YOK
1 - 2
SON
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
OSV
4 - 0
YOK
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
YOK
1 - 3
VEK
26%
28%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
YOK
1 - 2
VER
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Reinmeer Aomori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VER
0 - 0
REA
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
HON
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VEK
1 - 2
REA
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
MIO
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |