Yokogawa Musashino vs Reilac Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
16º
15º
31
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
30 | 57 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 54 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 27 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
VEK
0 - 1
YOK
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
YOK
2 - 3
TIA
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VER
3 - 0
YOK
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
YOK
0 - 0
YSC
19%
22%
60%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CRS
3 - 1
YOK
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MIO
1 - 1
URA
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MIO
1 - 1
VEK
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TIA
0 - 1
MIO
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MIO
1 - 0
VER
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
YSC
3 - 3
MIO
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |