Yokogawa Musashino vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 2
YOK
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
YOK
0 - 0
MIO
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RYK
1 - 1
YOK
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
YOK
1 - 1
SON
33%
29%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
YOK
0 - 2
MAT
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
JEF
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
SAG
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JEF
0 - 2
MAC
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |