Yokogawa Musashino vs Criacao Shinjuku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
12º
34
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
YOK
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
YOK
2 - 1
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 0
YOK
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 0
VEK
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TIA
4 - 1
YOK
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CRS
1 - 0
VEK
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GRU
4 - 0
CRS
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 4
CRS
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CRS
1 - 2
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
CRS
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |