Ynyshir Albions vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
75.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
16º
33
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ynyshir Albions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 0
YAF
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YAF
1 - 5
CAR
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
YAF
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 3
YAF
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
YAF
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 1
LID
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUC
4 - 1
TAF
7%
11%
82%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
TAF
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
TAF
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
TAF
1 - 1
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |