Ynyshir Albions vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
68.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
16º
47
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ynyshir Albions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
LID
1 - 0
YAF
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
YAF
2 - 3
TRE
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SUF
2 - 1
YAF
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 1
YAF
61%
19%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YAF
4 - 3
TAF
11%
14%
75%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 3
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAR
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAM
21%
22%
56%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 3
LLA
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |