Ynysddu Welfare vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
78.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ynysddu Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
YWF
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
YWF
2 - 1
TAF
7%
11%
82%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +4 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 0
CEF
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 0
CEF
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |