Yelets vs Metallurg Oskol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
7º
6º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yelets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
YEL
2 - 1
ROT
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
YEL
3 - 1
MET
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
YEL
0 - 1
ATO
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
YEL
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 3
YEL
33%
22%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
FKK
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 1
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
URO
1 - 1
MET
7%
13%
79%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
ORE
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
BGU
0 - 4
MET
5%
11%
84%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | +1 |