Yelets vs Avangard Kursk Ii analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
7º
6º
13
6º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yelets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 2
YEL
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
YEL
4 - 1
URO
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ORE
9 - 1
YEL
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGU
2 - 3
YEL
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 0
YEL
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk Ii
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 5
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
AVA
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 2
ROT
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 2
DIN
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 3
MET
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |