Yaracuyanos vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 0
CAR
9%
18%
74%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TIT
3 - 0
YAR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 1
ULA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
YAR
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
YAR
4 - 0
GVA
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FAL
2 - 3
FRO
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ZUL
4 - 1
FAL
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
TIT
2 - 0
FAL
66%
17%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 3
TIT
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 0
FAL
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |