Yaracuyanos vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
YAR
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 1
ESC
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
YAR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
YAR
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
YAR
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
POL
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
URE
2 - 1
FAL
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
FAL
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |