Yaracuyanos vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
URE
0 - 0
YAR
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
YAR
0 - 1
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
YAR
2 - 0
FAL
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 3
YAR
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
YAR
0 - 2
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
ULA
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
LAR
15%
19%
65%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
POL
4 - 0
ATL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
ATL
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |