Yaracuyanos vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
URE
1 - 2
YAR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
YAR
4 - 1
MIN
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
YAR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
YAR
4 - 1
FAL
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
YAR
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
POL
0 - 3
MON
32%
27%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POL
1 - 2
URE
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MIN
3 - 2
POL
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
POL
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |