Yaracuyanos vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 2
YAR
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
UCV
1 - 0
YAR
38%
25%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -4 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
YAR
0 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GVA
1 - 4
YAR
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
YAR
0 - 1
TUC
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GVA
2 - 2
ARR
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
VEN
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
UCV
5 - 0
ARR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TUC
3 - 1
ARR
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 3
APC
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |