K4 League Final
Global 3-4
Yangju Citizen vs Gyeongju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yangju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
YAN
1 - 1
POC
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
JEM
3 - 2
YAN
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
YAN
2 - 1
SEO
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
YAN
1 - 1
GYE
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
YUF
0 - 4
YAN
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Gyeongju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ICH
0 - 0
GYE
62%
20%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SEO
1 - 2
GYE
24%
24%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GYE
3 - 1
BUC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
YAN
1 - 1
GYE
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GYE
3 - 5
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |