Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Yalmakan vs Nuevo Chimalhuacán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yalmakan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
YFC
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TUT
0 - 1
YFC
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
YFC
5 - 0
ISL
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAT
0 - 3
YFC
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
GLA
1 - 0
YFC
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
YFC
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
CDA
3 - 4
CHI
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
CDT
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OUN
0 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CIE
0 - 4
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |