Yagüe vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CDS
1 - 2
YAG
5%
12%
83%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
YAG
3 - 1
CFC
83%
11%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 0
YAG
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
YAG
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
YAG
2 - 0
OYO
88%
8%
3%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 1
OYO
33%
26%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAX
0 - 2
CEN
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
HSC
18%
20%
62%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ALD
5 - 1
CEN
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 2
AUT
15%
22%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |