XV de Piracicaba vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
XVD
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
XVD
2 - 1
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
17%
23%
61%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
GSP
1 - 2
XVD
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAU
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PAU
1 - 0
GSP
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
17%
23%
61%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PAU
0 - 1
PRI
21%
28%
51%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |