XV de Piracicaba vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
XVD
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 1
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
XVD
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
OES
1 - 1
XVD
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
NOV
34%
24%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 2
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
PRI
38%
28%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |