XV de Piracicaba vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
VEL
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
XVD
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 2
TAU
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
2 - 3
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
MOG
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
4 - 2
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
4 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MOG
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |