XV de Piracicaba vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
XVD
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
XVD
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
XVD
0 - 1
SAN
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 4
ITU
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PPE
0 - 1
XVD
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 3
COR
16%
26%
58%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
MOG
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |