Xorazm vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
10º
7º
22
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PFK
1 - 2
XOR
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLM
4 - 2
XOR
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
2 - 0
XOR
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
XOR
3 - 0
FKA
82%
12%
5%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
XOR
3 - 1
MET
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 1
DSA
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
FKL
10%
19%
72%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 2
NAV
10%
19%
70%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ORO
23%
19%
58%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 0
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |