Xinabajul vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SPD
4 - 1
XIN
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
XIN
3 - 1
COA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MIX
3 - 0
XIN
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
XIN
0 - 0
LAG
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 0
XIN
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 3
SPD
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
COA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 1
NUE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |