Xinabajul vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
XIN
2 - 0
SPD
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
COA
3 - 0
XIN
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
XIN
2 - 0
MIX
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LAG
5 - 0
XIN
24%
23%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
XIN
0 - 0
PUE
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SPD
4 - 0
NUE
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COA
2 - 0
NUE
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
LAG
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |