Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Xinabajul vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
XIN
1 - 2
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 2
XIN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 1
XIN
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ZAC
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COB
0 - 0
XIN
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 0
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |