Xinabajul vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
12º
5º
25
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 3
XIN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
XIN
3 - 0
LEO
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 1
XIN
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
XIN
3 - 3
MIX
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
XIN
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
TOR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
COB
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOR
38%
26%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |