Xilvar vs Sporting Sant Marçal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
XIL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
XIL
3 - 1
CDE
54%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 4
XIL
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
XIL
5 - 2
MUR
26%
23%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
SHO
1 - 0
XIL
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Sant Marçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 3
CDG
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CFP
1 - 0
SPO
18%
22%
59%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
PLA
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CEC
1 - 2
SPO
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
ART
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |