Xil CD vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
71.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xil CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MOS
2 - 0
XIL
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 2
XIL
67%
18%
15%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
XIL
1 - 3
FAX
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CES
6 - 7
XIL
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
XIL
1 - 4
CER
24%
21%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAT
52%
20%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AND
2 - 2
CAL
11%
14%
75%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 7
CAL
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
5 - 2
BEI
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAL
35%
20%
45%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |