Xerta A vs Bot A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
60.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 1
XER
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
XER
0 - 4
JCA
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ROQ
2 - 1
XER
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
XER
1 - 4
PIN
20%
20%
61%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
5 - 1
XER
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bot A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 1
AMP
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
3 - 2
BOT
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 0
TIV
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 3
ARN
42%
22%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 7
BOT
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |