Xermade vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xermade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
XER
0 - 3
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
COS
3 - 0
XER
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
XER
4 - 1
CEL
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MEI
3 - 1
XER
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
XER
3 - 2
GOI
64%
20%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FON
0 - 0
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
IBE
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 0
CAS
31%
23%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 3
CAS
37%
22%
42%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
COS
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |