Xermade vs Candelaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xermade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RCV
3 - 2
XER
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
XER
3 - 1
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 1
XER
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
XER
3 - 0
COS
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 2
XER
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
ROU
51%
22%
26%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 1
RCV
16%
18%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ABA
2 - 3
CAN
40%
24%
36%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
SCI
26%
23%
51%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |