Xermade vs Candelaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xermade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 1
XER
38%
24%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
XER
0 - 0
ALF
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ROU
0 - 0
XER
60%
21%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
IBE
2 - 0
XER
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
XER
1 - 0
GOI
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 0
IBE
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SCI
1 - 1
CAN
67%
18%
16%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 0
ABA
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MON
3 - 2
CAN
36%
27%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
3 - 1
IBE
65%
17%
18%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |