Xerez CD vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
XER
1 - 1
UDL
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1992 |
XER
2 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
POL
1 - 1
XER
37%
31%
32%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
REC
1 - 1
XER
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
XER
3 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
RJA
3 - 0
POL
57%
26%
18%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1992 |
RJA
5 - 0
VEL
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
MAR
0 - 0
RJA
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
VEL
1 - 2
RJA
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
42%
30%
28%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |