Xerez CD vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
CAD
6 - 2
XER
54%
21%
26%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
XER
4 - 1
ALG
81%
11%
8%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
MAL
4 - 4
XER
55%
20%
25%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
XER
3 - 0
EST
78%
13%
9%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
XER
3 - 1
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
RJA
6 - 1
UTR
80%
12%
9%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
GRA
0 - 4
RJA
37%
23%
41%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
REC
2 - 1
RJA
76%
13%
11%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
XER
3 - 1
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
RJA
5 - 1
MAL
77%
13%
10%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |