Xerez CD vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 1
XER
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SLA
1 - 0
XER
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
XER
2 - 1
POL
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
CIU
1 - 0
XER
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
XER
0 - 0
UDL
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 3
POL
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CIU
2 - 1
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
UDL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 1
LOR
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 1
NUM
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |