Xerez CD vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
MAL
1 - 0
XER
81%
12%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
6 - 0
XER
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1954 |
MEL
1 - 0
XER
72%
16%
13%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
XER
2 - 1
UDE
65%
18%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
UDL
4 - 3
XER
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
HER
1 - 0
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
CAS
2 - 0
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
HER
5 - 0
MLL
72%
16%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
GRA
1 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |