Xerez Deportivo vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 0
XER
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
XER
0 - 1
CON
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CEU
0 - 1
XER
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
XER
1 - 1
BET
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CRD
0 - 1
XER
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDL
4 - 1
COR
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 1
CDL
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 0
CDL
31%
26%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 1
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CEU
1 - 0
CDL
52%
26%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |