Xelajú vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
11º
9º
21
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
COA
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
COB
3 - 0
CHI
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
XIN
45%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
COM
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COM
4 - 2
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
XIN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
COA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COB
4 - 2
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |