Xayr vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xayr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ENE
1 - 1
XAY
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
XAY
1 - 2
RAV
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
XAY
2 - 1
KHO
55%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IST
1 - 1
XAY
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
XAY
4 - 1
IST
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
GUD
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 3
ZAP
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
KHU
4 - 1
GUD
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 3
REG
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
GUD
0 - 6
IST
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |