X-Roads Warriors vs Hamilton Parish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
10º
7º
25
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
X-Roads Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
XRW
2 - 2
NOR
34%
21%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 2
XRW
64%
17%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
XRW
2 - 0
SOM
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
XRW
1 - 3
STG
32%
22%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
XRW
4 - 1
ROB
48%
20%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Parish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 2
HAM
27%
20%
53%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
STG
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 1
HOR
37%
20%
43%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ROB
1 - 2
HAM
38%
21%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
DEV
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |